Reliance Home Finance (RHFL) Share Price Target 2025: Can It Recover to ₹5?
Reliance Home Finance Ltd. (NSE: RHFL) is currently trading around ₹4.19 as of July 29, 2025. Once considered a potential growth stock in the NBFC space, RHFL has been under pressure due to financial restructuring and limited investor interest. As 2025 unfolds, investors are watching closely: Can RHFL bounce back to ₹5 by year-end?
Current Performance Snapshot (as of July 29, 2025)
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Last traded price: ₹4.19
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52-week range: ₹2.15 – ₹7.78
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Market capitalization: ~₹160 Crore
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TradingView sentiment: Neutral to Bearish
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Volume: Thin; low daily turnover
RHFL’s share price remains volatile, with no strong momentum on either side. Investor participation is limited, and technical indicators are largely neutral.
Technical Analysis Overview
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RSI (Relative Strength Index): ~42 (Neutral)
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MACD: No bullish crossover yet
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ADX: Below 25, indicating weak trend strength
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Moving Averages: Trading below both 50-day and 200-day EMAs
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Support levels: ₹3.00
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Resistance levels: ₹3.60 – ₹4.00
Based on these metrics, RHFL lacks strong bullish momentum and may continue sideways unless a major catalyst emerges.
RHFL Share Price Target 2025 – Forecast Scenarios
| Scenario | Target Price (2025) | Outlook |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative Estimate | ₹2.80 – ₹3.30 | Stagnant growth with no restructuring progress |
| Base Case Forecast | ₹3.30 – ₹3.80 | Gradual improvement with stable fundamentals |
| Bullish Case Scenario | ₹4.00 – ₹5.00 | Requires major restructuring success and earnings boost |
Analysts believe RHFL could touch ₹3.5–₹4 by late 2025 if restructuring gains traction and investor confidence improves.
Key Factors That May Influence RHFL’s 2025 Price
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Progress on debt resolution and restructuring
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Improved liquidity and trading volume
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Government incentives for housing finance
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Positive quarterly results or earnings turnaround
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Investor sentiment in small-cap NBFCs
Risks to Watch
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Unresolved financial challenges
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Thin trading volume and high volatility
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Lack of institutional participation
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Regulatory delays or unfavorable macro conditions
Should You Bet on ₹4 in 2025?
RHFL is currently a high-risk, low-liquidity stock with no strong bullish triggers. While a move toward ₹4 is possible in an optimistic scenario, it heavily depends on the success of restructuring efforts and improvement in business fundamentals.
