Alok Industries Share Price Target 2025: Can Technicals Spark a Turnaround?

Alok Industries (NSE: ALOKINDS) is trading near ₹21.89, drifting slightly lower today. After a strong rebound off the ₹14–₹15 lows, technical indicators indicate mixed momentum. If the stock holds above ₹21.40–₹21.60, it could aim for ₹26–₹28 by end‑2025. A breakdown below ₹21.20 would threaten the optimistic scenario.

1. Technical Snapshot (July 9, 2025)

• Price: ₹21.89 (–1.36%)

• 52‑Week Range: ₹14.01 – ₹29.79

• RSI (14): ~57 – bullish neutral

• MACD: +0.31 – positive crossover bull signal 

• Stochastic RSI: ~22 – oversold bounce underway

• Moving Averages: Price trading above 50‑day (₹20.80) and 200‑day (₹20.08) SMAs—buy alignment

Overall technicals lean bullish but lack strong momentum—suggesting potential rally if key support holds.

2. Support & Resistance Levels

• Support Zone: ₹21.36–₹21.60 (pivot & SMA buffer)

• Immediate Resistance: ₹22.46–₹22.77 (pivot R2–R3)

• Target Zones:

  • Base‑case: ₹26 (20% upside)

  • Bull‑case: ₹28 — if momentum and setup strengthen

• Bear‑case Risk: Breakdown under ₹21.20 targets ₹18–₹19

3. Price Target Outlook Through 2025

• Base-case: ₹26 — aligns with measured move from current pivot range

• Bull-case: ₹28 — achievable if technical setup holds and sector sentiment improves

• Bear-case: ₹18–₹19 — triggered by a break below crucial support and loss of momentum

4. Risks & Technical Watchpoints

• Neutral Oscillators: RSI and Stochastic RSI are neutral and may require stronger volume to confirm reversal. MACD remains positive but modest, lacking strength to propel rapid move

• Pivot Breakdown Risk: Falling below ₹21.20 pivot could negate bullish case and drag price lower.

• Macro/sector sensitivity: Textile sector volatility or raw material cost pressure may impact trend.

5. Suggested Trading Strategy

• Entry Zone: ₹21.60–₹21.80 (near support pivot)

• Stop‑Loss: ₹21.10 (below pivot)

• Targets:

  1. ₹26 (initial)

  2. ₹28 (stretch)

• Confirmation Tip: Watch for MACD crossover and breakout from ₹22.50–₹23.00 resistance zone with strong volume.