YES Bank Share Price Target 2025: Can Technicals Spark a Recovery?

YES Bank (NSE: YESBANK) is trading at ₹20.08, down slightly (–0.50%) today. Technical indicators remain cautiously bearish after a ~27% fall from its 52-week high. However, if the stock stabilizes above key support in the ₹19.80–₹20.00 zone and MACD turns upward, we could see a rebound toward ₹24–₹26 by late 2025.

1. Technical Snapshot (July 4, 2025)

• Price: ₹20.08 (–0.10, –0.50%)

• 52‑Week Range: ₹16.02 – ₹27.44; current price is ~27% below peak

• RSI (14): ~49–47 — neutral mid-range

• MACD: –0.05 — mildly bearish

• Stochastic: ~64 — neutral

• 50-day SMA: ₹20.25 (price just below)

• 200-day SMA: ₹20.56 (price below major trend line)

Interpretation: Short-term momentum remains weak, but prices hovering near both SMAs suggest possible consolidation.

2. Support & Resistance Levels

• Support Zone: ₹19.80–₹20.00 (psychological + SMA proximity)

• Immediate Resistance: ₹20.50–₹20.60 (50-day/200-day SMA)

• Upside Targets:

  • Base-case: ₹24 — requires a breakout above ₹20.60

  • Bull-case: ₹26 — if MACD turns positive and volume increases

A breakdown below ₹19.80 could trigger a decline toward ₹18–₹19.

3. Price Target 2025 Outlook

Based on current technicals and assuming a recovery above key levels:

• Base-case: ₹24 — ~20% upside

• Bull-case: ₹26 — ~30% upside

• Bear-case: ₹18 — in case support fails

4. Risks & Technical Warning Signs

• MACD remains negative and RSI is neutral—momentum hasn’t confirmed reversal

• Loss below ₹19.80 may signal further downside

• Broader banking sector weakness or financial regulation changes could amplify pressure

5. Suggested Trading Strategy

• Entry Point: ₹20.00–₹20.10 — consolidation near support

• Stop-Loss: ₹19.70 — just below support zone

• Targets: ₹24 → ₹26

• Confirmation Tip: Increase allocation once price breaks and holds above ₹20.60 with volume