Aarti Industries Share Price Target 2025: Technicals Signal Weakness as Stock Approaches ₹440
Technical Rating: Strong Sell on daily, weekly, monthly charts—zero buy signals, 12 sell MAs, 7 sell indicators
1. Technical Snapshot (July 11, 2025)
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RSI (14): ~19.3 — deeply oversold
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MACD: –6.55 — bearish momentum
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ADX (14): ~52 — strong downtrend in process
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Pivot Zones: Classic pivot near ₹442, with lower support around ₹440, before plunging toward ₹438–₹439
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Immediate Support: ₹438–₹440 — pivot and recent low cluster
2. Support, Resistance & Analyst Targets
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Resistance: ₹445–₹450 — clearance would trigger base recovery
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Average target: ₹520 (Trendlyne) — ~18% upside
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Analyst Targets:
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UBS high estimate: ₹625 — ~31% upside from current price
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Downtrend continues; RSI remains depressed; break below ₹438 support
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3. 2025 Price Target Scenarios
| Scenario | Target ₹ | Conditions |
|---|---|---|
| Bear Case | ₹420–₹430 | Consolidation near ₹445–₹450, followed by a mild bounce |
| Base Case | ₹480–₹500 | Sustained recovery, driven by improved sector fundamentals and bullish revisions from UBS and peers |
| Bull Case | ₹600–₹625 | Current positioning is deeply oversold, but without bullish divergence—meaning the stock may remain weak even with RSI <20 |
4. Risks & Technical Cautions
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A break below ₹438–₹440 could accelerate momentum to ₹420+ downse side
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Analyst optimism vs. weak technicals and fundamentals: low sales growth and modest ROE (~8.5%) add caution
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Short Position/Bear Strategy: Enter near ₹442 with stop above ₹445; target ₹430, and a stretch to ₹420+
5. Suggested Trading Strategy
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Bullish Rebound Strategy: Wait for price to stabilize above ₹445–₹450 with improving MACD histogram and volume before initiating long trades
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Stop-Loss Guidelines: Tight stops between ₹445–₹448 based on pivot failure
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